Republican leaders are urging Rep. Mike Lawler of New York to reconsider his potential gubernatorial run for 2026, amid concerns for his battleground House seat. Lawler has yet to make a final decision but is under pressure from party officials who are anxious about preserving their narrow majority in the House. Party figures, including Rep. Richard Hudson, express that Lawler is a strong candidate in his Hudson Valley district, which is critical for the GOP. Hudson acknowledged he has shared his preference with Lawler to remain in the House.
The context involves rising tensions within the party as Rep. Elise Stefanik is also contemplating a gubernatorial candidacy. Although Trump withdrew her ambassador nomination over concerns about the House’s small Republican margin, leaders worry more about Lawler’s potentially vulnerable seat compared to Stefanik’s, which Trump won decisively in 2022.
Speaker Mike Johnson stated a preference for both Lawler and Stefanik to stay in the House, emphasizing their talents. Complications have arisen, however, including social media disagreements between Johnson and Stefanik regarding their discussions about gubernatorial ambitions. The dynamics within the GOP are further complicated by local issues such as the SALT tax deduction; how the party handles this could influence the gubernatorial race.
Although both candidates are seen as strong contenders, doubts remain about their viability in a general election against Governor Kathy Hochul, especially considering New York’s recent voting patterns. With just three seats needed for a Democratic majority, the stakes are high, and many believe the political climate in 2026 could be challenging for Republicans. Lawler is expected to announce his decision by June, weighing various factors independently.
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